Mapping Application for Penguin Populations and Projected Dynamics
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How does MAPPPD work?
See the flow chart here
flowchart
Read about MAPPPD
About

MAPPPD is a project funded by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in partnership with Oceanites and the Lab of Dr. Heather Lynch at Stony Brook University.

Penguins are some of the most charismatic animals in the world and have captured the imaginations of news-makers, scientists, film producers and the general public. Beyond their general intrinsic value, they are considered important ecosystem indicators. That is to say, monitoring these beautiful species can tell us a lot about the general health of the Antarctic. This is because penguins are top predators, and changes (natural or anthropogenic) which influence the oceanography of the region or prey abundance, will ultimately be detected through changes in distribution or population size.

The Antarctic is currently governed by nations which make up the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS). Management strategies designed by the ATS rely on accurate and citable penguin population data in order to mitigate any anthropogenic impacts in the region. However, data on penguin populations are limited primarily due to the fact that most monitored colonies are nearby permanent research stations. This means that any remote populations are essentially ignored during planning processes. Due to advances in remote sensing, modeling and aerial imagery, it is now possible to obtain population estimates for these hard-to-reach sites.

MAPPPD aims to deliver population data from four species of penguin to any interested party with the goal of helping support conservation decisions in the Antarctic. We use a combination of highly advanced remote sensing technologies, aerial imagery and field counts to estimate penguin abundance across the entire continent.

All of the data in MAPPPD are open access to the general public, and the process is well documented in our white paper report.

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Population model math
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popmath
Occupancy model math
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occmath
MAPPPD team
Meet the MAPPPD team
Heather

Dr. Heather Lynch

Heather is a professor at Stony Brook University and the principal investigator of the MAPPPD project. Prior to arriving at Stony Brook Heather was a student at Princeton and Harvard, then continued into a Post doctoral research position at the University of Maryland. She has a background in physical sciences and quantitative modeling. She coordinates and manages all aspects of MAPPPD to ensure funding agency expectations are met
Christian

Dr. Chris Che-Castaldo

Christian is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead modeler of the MAPPPD project. Chris has nearly a decade of experience in bayesian modeling techniques having previously worked at the University of Maryland with Dr Bill Fagan. His role is to build the backend database of MAPPPD and construct population estimates and forecasts.
Grant

Dr. Grant Humphries

Grant is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead web developer of the MAPPPD project. Grant's primary interest has been seabird ecology and spatial modeling, but has a decade of experience using machine learning techniques and programming with R and Python languages. His role is to build the front-end of MAPPPD in line with the needs of stakeholders
Michael

Michael Schrimpf

Michael is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and the lead modeler for the occupancy data presented on MAPPPD. He is an avid birder with an interest in seabird ecology with a focus on quantitative methods. He has constructed a model which predicts the occupancy of certain species at a variety of sites on the Antarctic Peninsula
Phil

Phil McDowall

Phil is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and is a programmer for the MAPPPD project. He is a computer scientist by training and has been working on combining a variety of penguin data with high performance computing techniques. He developed the original concept framework for MAPPPD along with Dr. Heather Lynch

Data sources

J. M. ACERO ERLI SCHNEIDER COSTA R. S. C. HORNE MARCIA S. MEIXLER JÉRÔME PONCET MATT SWANSON
C. A. AGUIRRE R. J. M. CRAWFORD TAKAO HOSHIAI JORGE A. MENNUCCI CLAIRE PORTER TATSUO SWEDA
DAVID G. AINLEY S. CROFTS R. HUCKE-GAETE LISA MEYER R. A. PRICE MASAYUKI TAKAHASHI
PIOTR J. ANGIEL J. P. CROXALL N. HUIN T. MICOL PETER A. PRINCE ATSUSHI TANIMURA
BRAULIO ARAYA G. A. DANERI HIDEO ICHIKAWA RAINER MÖNKE D. V. PYLYPENKO ANDRZEJ TATUR
TATIANA COELHO BALBÃO F. H. J. DAUNT YOSHIO INO DIEGO MONTALTI P. QUILLFELDT R. H. TAYLOR
GRANT BALLARD K. C. DELORD SHINGO ISHIKAWA JUAN MORENO R. D. QUINTANA B. W. THOMAS
RUDOLF BANNASCH KATIE M. DUGGER BOLESŁAW JABŁOŃSKI PAUL MORIN STANISŁAW RAKUSA-SUSZCZEWSKI SONIA C TIDEMANN
ANDRES BARBOSA B. M. DYER J. R. JEHL A. MORTON NORMAN RATCLIFFE F. S. TODD
C. BARBRAUD CARL R. EKLUND GAVIN W. JOHNSTONE THOMAS MUELLER K. REINHARDT D. TORRES
ANDREA BARONI LOUISE EMMERSON A. G. E. JONES C. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE C. C. RIMMER PHILIP N. TRATHAN
MANDY BARRON P. H. ENSOR S. JONES D. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE GRAHAM ROBERTSON WAYNE Z. TRIVELPIECE
KERRY J. BARTON A. W. ERICKSON P. JOUVENTIN E. J. MURPHY C. J. R. ROBERTSON S. G. TRIVELPIECE
J. A. BASSETT CESAR GARCIA ESPONDA MARIANA A. JUÁRES ANDRZEJ MYRCHA L. M. ROBERTSON L. UPFOLD
MARIA PAULA BERON WILLIAM F. FAGAN MARTIN KAISER YASUHIKO NAITO EMILCE F. ROMBOLÁ RODOLFO DEL VALLE
M. I. GARCIA BETOÑO MARCO FAVERO AKIKO KATO RON NAVEEN D. M. ROOTES V. VALLEJOS
ANDREAS BICK ANDREW H. FLEMING KOUICHI KAWAGUSHI JAVIER NEGRETE JOHN F RYAN S. VIVEQUIN
ANDY BLACK R. FONTANA K. R. KERRY KYM NEWBERY P. G. RYAN N. J. VOLKMAN
PEDRO G. BLENDINGER STEVE FORREST E. D. KIRKWOOD HERMAN NÚÑEZ MARTIN SANDER ADAM WALLEYN
MARÍA SUSANA BÓ ADRIAN J. FOX J. KJELMYR R. ODENING MARÍA MERCEDES SANTOS MICHAŁ WȨGRZYN
SILVIA M. BUJAN W. R. FRASER GERALD L. KOOYMAN YOSHIKUNI OHYAMA CESAR RODRIGO DOS SANTOS RICHARD WHITE
MALCOLM BURLEY PETER T. FRETWELL MAŁGORZATA KORCZAK-ABSHIRE J. L. ORGEIRA R. P. SCHLATTER MICHAEL D. WHITEHEAD
H. R. BURTON MITSUO FUKUCHI MICHELLE A. LARUE C. G. ORREGO MATHEW R. SCHWALLER P. A. WHITTINGTON
JESSICA CARDÈ P. J. FULLAGAR PHILLIP LAW D. F. PARMALEE W. D. SHUFORD BARBARA WIENECKE
ALEJANDRO R. CARLINI AXEL GEBAUER IVÁN LAZO M. R. PAYNE KAZIMIERZ SIERAKOWSKI G. WILSON
R. CARR G. R. GEUPAL G. LESIŃSKI PABLO J. PERCHIVALE M. PATRICIA SILVA PETER R. WILSON
PAULA CASANOVAS J. R. GILBERT JAN L. LIESER HANS-ULRICH PETER WILLIAM J. L. SLADEN DAVID WILSON
RICARDO J. CASAUX DIEGO GONZÁLEZ-ZEVALLOS MAJA LISOWSKA S. L. PETERSEN D. J. SLIP ERIC J. WOEHLER
PIOTR CIAPUTA SHULAMIT GORDON K. LORENZ MARIA VIRGÍNIA PETRY GUILLERMO E. SOAVE ROBERT C. WOOD
V. CIRELLI KEN GREEN MATTHEW LOW SIMONE PFEIFFER COLIN SOUTHWELL JOSÉ V. YAÑEZ
NORM COBLEY S. HAHN HEATHER J. LYNCH RHONDA PIKE DARREN SOUTHWELL DETLEV ZIPPEL
P. CONVEY C. M. HARRIS PHIL O'B. LYVER P. A. PISTORIUS H. SPAIRANI
J. COOPER G. M. HEIMARK OSAMU MATSUDA MICHAEL POLITO B. SPEAR
SÓFIA COPELLO R. J. HEIMARK JOHN MCKINLAY ANNIE POLLARD WOJCIECH STARCK
NÉSTOR R. CORIA G. HEMPEL STEPHEN MCNEILL SALLY PONCET BERNARD STONEHOUSE