|How does MAPPPD work?|
|See the flow chart here|
|Read about MAPPPD|
MAPPPD is a project funded by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in partnership with Oceanites and the Lab of Dr. Heather Lynch at Stony Brook University.
Penguins are some of the most charismatic animals in the world and have captured the imaginations of
news-makers, scientists, film producers and the general public. Beyond their general intrinsic value, they are considered important ecosystem
indicators. That is to say, monitoring these beautiful species can tell us a lot about the general health of the Antarctic. This is because
penguins are top predators, and changes (natural or anthropogenic) which influence the oceanography of the region or prey abundance, will ultimately
be detected through changes in distribution or population size.
|Population model math|
|Click here for math!|
The Adélie penguin population estimates come from a Bayesian model developed by Dr. Christian Che-Castaldo. This model uses approximations of relationships between covariates (e.g., environmental and otherwise) and population size to take our best guess at how many nests are found at each colony since the start of the time series. The maths behind Bayesian approximations are complex; The maths are detailed in an upcoming Supplement from the upcoming Che-Castaldo et al (2017) paper in Nature Communications
The Gentoo and Chinstrap population models, also developed by Dr Che-Castaldo, are still in the experimental phase and have yet to be peer-reviewed. Currently, they use the same algorithm as developed for the Adélie penguin, but will be updated in time.
|Occupancy model math|
|Click here for math!|
|Meet the MAPPPD team|
Dr. Heather Lynch
Heather is a professor at Stony Brook University and the principal investigator of the MAPPPD project. Prior to arriving at Stony Brook Heather was a student at Princeton and Harvard, then continued into a Post doctoral research position at the University of Maryland. She has a background in physical sciences and quantitative modeling. She coordinates and manages all aspects of MAPPPD to ensure funding agency expectations are met.
Dr. Chris Che-Castaldo
Christian is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead modeler of the MAPPPD project. Chris has nearly a decade of experience in bayesian modeling techniques having previously worked at the University of Maryland with Dr. Bill Fagan. His role is to build the backend database of MAPPPD and construct population estimates and forecasts.
Dr. Grant Humphries
Grant is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead web developer of the MAPPPD project. Grant's primary interest has been seabird ecology and spatial modeling, but has a decade of experience using machine learning techniques and programming with R and Python languages. His role is to build the front-end of MAPPPD in line with the needs of stakeholders.
Michael is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and the lead modeler for the occupancy data presented on MAPPPD. He is an avid birder with an interest in seabird ecology with a focus on quantitative methods. He has constructed a model which predicts the occupancy of certain species at a variety of sites on the Antarctic Peninsula.
Phil is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and is a programmer for the MAPPPD project. He is a computer scientist by training and has been working on combining a variety of penguin data with high performance computing techniques. He developed the original concept framework for MAPPPD along with Dr. Heather Lynch.
|J. M. ACERO||SÓFIA COPELLO||R. J. HEIMARK||OSAMU MATSUDA||ANNIE POLLARD||WOJCIECH STARCK|
|STACEY ADLARD||NÉSTOR R. CORIA||G. HEMPEL||JOHN MCKINLAY||SALLY PONCET||BERNARD STONEHOUSE|
|C. A. AGUIRRE||ERLI SCHNEIDER COSTA||R. S. C. HORNE||STEPHEN MCNEILL||JÉRÔME PONCET||MATT SWANSON|
|DAVID G. AINLEY||R. J. M. CRAWFORD||TAKAO HOSHIAI||MARCIA S. MEIXLER||P. J. PONGANIS||TATSUO SWEDA|
|PIOTR J. ANGIEL||S. CROFTS||R. HUCKE-GAETE||JORGE A. MENNUCCI||CLAIRE PORTER||MASAYUKI TAKAHASHI|
|BRAULIO ARAYA||J. P. CROXALL||N. HUIN||PETER METCALF||R. A. PRICE||ATSUSHI TANIMURA|
|TATIANA COELHO BALBÃO||G. A. DANERI||HIDEO ICHIKAWA||LISA MEYER||PETER A. PRINCE||ANDRZEJ TATUR|
|GRANT BALLARD||F. H. J. DAUNT||YOSHIO INO||T. MICOL||D. V. PYLYPENKO||R. H. TAYLOR|
|RUDOLF BANNASCH||K. C. DELORD||SHINGO ISHIKAWA||RAINER MÖNKE||P. QUILLFELDT||B. W. THOMAS|
|ANDRES BARBOSA||KATIE M. DUGGER||BOLESŁAW JABŁOŃSKI||DIEGO MONTALTI||R. D. QUINTANA||SONIA C TIDEMANN|
|C. BARBRAUD||MICHAEL J DUNN||JENNIFER A JACKSON||JUAN MORENO||STANISŁAW RAKUSA-SUSZCZEWSKI||F. S. TODD|
|ANDREA BARONI||B. M. DYER||J. R. JEHL||PAUL MORIN||NORMAN RATCLIFFE||D. TORRES|
|MANDY BARRON||CARL R. EKLUND||GAVIN W. JOHNSTONE||A. MORTON||K. REINHARDT||A. TOWNSEND|
|KERRY J BARTON||LOUISE EMMERSON||A. G. E. JONES||THOMAS MUELLER||C. C. RIMMER||PHILIP N. TRATHAN|
|KERRY J. BARTON||P. H. ENSOR||S. JONES||C. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE||GRAHAM ROBERTSON||WAYNE Z. TRIVELPIECE|
|J. A. BASSETT||A. W. ERICKSON||P. JOUVENTIN||D. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE||C. J. R. ROBERTSON||S. G. TRIVELPIECE|
|MARIA PAULA BERON||CESAR GARCIA ESPONDA||MARIANA A. JUÁRES||E. J. MURPHY||L. M. ROBERTSON||L. UPFOLD|
|M. I. GARCIA BETOÑO||WILLIAM F. FAGAN||MARTIN KAISER||ANDRZEJ MYRCHA||EMILCE F. ROMBOLÁ||RODOLFO DEL VALLE|
|ANDREAS BICK||MARCO FAVERO||AKIKO KATO||YASUHIKO NAITO||D. M. ROOTES||V. VALLEJOS|
|ANDY BLACK||ANDREW H. FLEMING||KOUICHI KAWAGUSHI||RON NAVEEN||YAN ROPERT-COUDERT||S. VIVEQUIN|
|PEDRO G. BLENDINGER||R. FONTANA||K. R. KERRY||JAVIER NEGRETE||JOHN F RYAN||N. J. VOLKMAN|
|MARÍA SUSANA BÓ||STEVE FORREST||E. D. KIRKWOOD||KYM NEWBERY||P. G. RYAN||ADAM WALLEYN|
|DIRK R BRIGGS||DERREN FOX||J. KJELMYR||HERMAN NÚÑEZ||MARTIN SANDER||CLAIRE M WALUDA|
|SILVIA M. BUJAN||ADRIAN J. FOX||GERALD L. KOOYMAN||R. ODENING||MARÍA MERCEDES SANTOS||MICHAŁ WȨGRZYN|
|MALCOLM BURLEY||W. R. FRASER||MAŁGORZATA KORCZAK-ABSHIRE||YOSHIKUNI OHYAMA||CESAR RODRIGO DOS SANTOS||RICHARD WHITE|
|H. R. BURTON||PETER T. FRETWELL||MICHELLE A. LARUE||J. L. ORGEIRA||R. P. SCHLATTER||MICHAEL D. WHITEHEAD|
|JESSICA CARDÈ||MITSUO FUKUCHI||PHILLIP LAW||C. G. ORREGO||MATHEW R. SCHWALLER||P. A. WHITTINGTON|
|ALEJANDRO R. CARLINI||P. J. FULLAGAR||IVÁN LAZO||D. F. PARMALEE||W. D. SHUFORD||BARBARA WIENECKE|
|R. CARR||AXEL GEBAUER||G. LESIŃSKI||M. R. PAYNE||KAZIMIERZ SIERAKOWSKI||G. WILSON|
|PAULA CASANOVAS||G. R. GEUPAL||JAN L. LIESER||PABLO J. PERCHIVALE||M. PATRICIA SILVA||PETER R. WILSON|
|RICARDO J. CASAUX||J. R. GILBERT||MAJA LISOWSKA||HANS-ULRICH PETER||WILLIAM J. L. SLADEN||DAVID WILSON|
|PIOTR CIAPUTA||DIEGO GONZÁLEZ-ZEVALLOS||K. LORENZ||S. L. PETERSEN||D. J. SLIP||ERIC J. WOEHLER|
|V. CIRELLI||SHULAMIT GORDON||MATTHEW LOW||MARIA VIRGÍNIA PETRY||GUILLERMO E. SOAVE||ROBERT C. WOOD|
|J. CLARKE||KEN GREEN||HEATHER J. LYNCH||SIMONE PFEIFFER||COLIN SOUTHWELL||JOSÉ V. YAÑEZ|
|NORM COBLEY||S. HAHN||AMANDA S LYNNES||RHONDA PIKE||DARREN SOUTHWELL||DETLEV ZIPPEL|
|P. CONVEY||C. M. HARRIS||PHIL O'B. LYVER||P. A. PISTORIUS||H. SPAIRANI|
|J. COOPER||G. M. HEIMARK||JOHN A MACDONALD||MICHAEL POLITO||B. SPEAR|