Mapping Application for Penguin Populations and Projected Dynamics
aboutimage

How does MAPPPD work?
See the flow chart here
flowchart
Read about MAPPPD
About

MAPPPD is a project funded by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in partnership with Oceanites and the Lab of Dr. Heather Lynch at Stony Brook University.

Penguins are some of the most charismatic animals in the world and have captured the imaginations of news-makers, scientists, film producers and the general public. Beyond their general intrinsic value, they are considered important ecosystem indicators. That is to say, monitoring these beautiful species can tell us a lot about the general health of the Antarctic. This is because penguins are top predators, and changes (natural or anthropogenic) which influence the oceanography of the region or prey abundance, will ultimately be detected through changes in distribution or population size.

The Antarctic is currently governed by nations which make up the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS). Management strategies designed by the ATS rely on accurate and citable penguin population data in order to mitigate any anthropogenic impacts in the region. However, data on penguin populations are limited primarily due to the fact that most monitored colonies are nearby permanent research stations. This means that any remote populations are essentially ignored during planning processes. Due to advances in remote sensing, modeling and aerial imagery, it is now possible to obtain population estimates for these hard-to-reach sites.

MAPPPD aims to deliver population data from four species of penguin to any interested party with the goal of helping support conservation decisions in the Antarctic. We use a combination of highly advanced remote sensing technologies, aerial imagery and field counts to estimate penguin abundance across the entire continent.

All of the data in MAPPPD are open access to the general public, and the process is well documented in our white paper report.

Thank you for visiting!

Population model math
Click here for math!
popmath
Occupancy model math
Click here for math!
occmath
MAPPPD team
Meet the MAPPPD team
Heather

Dr. Heather Lynch

Heather is a professor at Stony Brook University and the principal investigator of the MAPPPD project. Prior to arriving at Stony Brook Heather was a student at Princeton and Harvard, then continued into a Post doctoral research position at the University of Maryland. She has a background in physical sciences and quantitative modeling. She coordinates and manages all aspects of MAPPPD to ensure funding agency expectations are met
Christian

Dr. Chris Che-Castaldo

Christian is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead modeler of the MAPPPD project. Chris has nearly a decade of experience in bayesian modeling techniques having previously worked at the University of Maryland with Dr Bill Fagan. His role is to build the backend database of MAPPPD and construct population estimates and forecasts.
Grant

Dr. Grant Humphries

Grant is a postdoctoral researcher and the lead web developer of the MAPPPD project. Grant's primary interest has been seabird ecology and spatial modeling, but has a decade of experience using machine learning techniques and programming with R and Python languages. His role is to build the front-end of MAPPPD in line with the needs of stakeholders
Michael

Michael Schrimpf

Michael is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and the lead modeler for the occupancy data presented on MAPPPD. He is an avid birder with an interest in seabird ecology with a focus on quantitative methods. He has constructed a model which predicts the occupancy of certain species at a variety of sites on the Antarctic Peninsula
Phil

Phil McDowall

Phil is a PhD student at Stony Brook University under the supervision of Dr. Heather Lynch and is a programmer for the MAPPPD project. He is a computer scientist by training and has been working on combining a variety of penguin data with high performance computing techniques. He developed the original concept framework for MAPPPD along with Dr. Heather Lynch

Data sources

J. M. ACERO NÉSTOR R. CORIA R. S. C. HORNE MARCIA S. MEIXLER JÉRÔME PONCET BERNARD STONEHOUSE
C. A. AGUIRRE ERLI SCHNEIDER COSTA TAKAO HOSHIAI JORGE A. MENNUCCI P. J. PONGANIS MATT SWANSON
DAVID G. AINLEY R. J. M. CRAWFORD R. HUCKE-GAETE PETER METCALF CLAIRE PORTER TATSUO SWEDA
PIOTR J. ANGIEL S. CROFTS N. HUIN LISA MEYER R. A. PRICE MASAYUKI TAKAHASHI
BRAULIO ARAYA J. P. CROXALL HIDEO ICHIKAWA T. MICOL PETER A. PRINCE ATSUSHI TANIMURA
TATIANA COELHO BALBÃO G. A. DANERI YOSHIO INO RAINER MÖNKE D. V. PYLYPENKO ANDRZEJ TATUR
GRANT BALLARD F. H. J. DAUNT SHINGO ISHIKAWA DIEGO MONTALTI P. QUILLFELDT R. H. TAYLOR
RUDOLF BANNASCH K. C. DELORD BOLESŁAW JABŁOŃSKI JUAN MORENO R. D. QUINTANA B. W. THOMAS
ANDRES BARBOSA KATIE M. DUGGER J. R. JEHL PAUL MORIN STANISŁAW RAKUSA-SUSZCZEWSKI SONIA C TIDEMANN
C. BARBRAUD B. M. DYER GAVIN W. JOHNSTONE A. MORTON NORMAN RATCLIFFE F. S. TODD
ANDREA BARONI CARL R. EKLUND A. G. E. JONES THOMAS MUELLER K. REINHARDT D. TORRES
MANDY BARRON LOUISE EMMERSON S. JONES C. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE C. C. RIMMER A. TOWNSEND
KERRY J BARTON P. H. ENSOR P. JOUVENTIN D. MÜLLER-SCHWARZE GRAHAM ROBERTSON PHILIP N. TRATHAN
KERRY J. BARTON A. W. ERICKSON MARIANA A. JUÁRES E. J. MURPHY C. J. R. ROBERTSON WAYNE Z. TRIVELPIECE
J. A. BASSETT CESAR GARCIA ESPONDA MARTIN KAISER ANDRZEJ MYRCHA L. M. ROBERTSON S. G. TRIVELPIECE
MARIA PAULA BERON WILLIAM F. FAGAN AKIKO KATO YASUHIKO NAITO EMILCE F. ROMBOLÁ L. UPFOLD
M. I. GARCIA BETOÑO MARCO FAVERO KOUICHI KAWAGUSHI RON NAVEEN D. M. ROOTES RODOLFO DEL VALLE
ANDREAS BICK ANDREW H. FLEMING K. R. KERRY JAVIER NEGRETE YAN ROPERT-COUDERT V. VALLEJOS
ANDY BLACK R. FONTANA E. D. KIRKWOOD KYM NEWBERY JOHN F RYAN S. VIVEQUIN
PEDRO G. BLENDINGER STEVE FORREST J. KJELMYR HERMAN NÚÑEZ P. G. RYAN N. J. VOLKMAN
MARÍA SUSANA BÓ ADRIAN J. FOX GERALD L. KOOYMAN R. ODENING MARTIN SANDER ADAM WALLEYN
SILVIA M. BUJAN W. R. FRASER MAŁGORZATA KORCZAK-ABSHIRE YOSHIKUNI OHYAMA MARÍA MERCEDES SANTOS MICHAŁ WȨGRZYN
MALCOLM BURLEY PETER T. FRETWELL MICHELLE A. LARUE J. L. ORGEIRA CESAR RODRIGO DOS SANTOS RICHARD WHITE
H. R. BURTON MITSUO FUKUCHI PHILLIP LAW C. G. ORREGO R. P. SCHLATTER MICHAEL D. WHITEHEAD
JESSICA CARDÈ P. J. FULLAGAR IVÁN LAZO D. F. PARMALEE MATHEW R. SCHWALLER P. A. WHITTINGTON
ALEJANDRO R. CARLINI AXEL GEBAUER G. LESIŃSKI M. R. PAYNE W. D. SHUFORD BARBARA WIENECKE
R. CARR G. R. GEUPAL JAN L. LIESER PABLO J. PERCHIVALE KAZIMIERZ SIERAKOWSKI G. WILSON
PAULA CASANOVAS J. R. GILBERT MAJA LISOWSKA HANS-ULRICH PETER M. PATRICIA SILVA PETER R. WILSON
RICARDO J. CASAUX DIEGO GONZÁLEZ-ZEVALLOS K. LORENZ S. L. PETERSEN WILLIAM J. L. SLADEN DAVID WILSON
PIOTR CIAPUTA SHULAMIT GORDON MATTHEW LOW MARIA VIRGÍNIA PETRY D. J. SLIP ERIC J. WOEHLER
V. CIRELLI KEN GREEN HEATHER J. LYNCH SIMONE PFEIFFER GUILLERMO E. SOAVE ROBERT C. WOOD
J. CLARKE S. HAHN PHIL O'B. LYVER RHONDA PIKE COLIN SOUTHWELL JOSÉ V. YAÑEZ
NORM COBLEY C. M. HARRIS JOHN A MACDONALD P. A. PISTORIUS DARREN SOUTHWELL DETLEV ZIPPEL
P. CONVEY G. M. HEIMARK OSAMU MATSUDA MICHAEL POLITO H. SPAIRANI
J. COOPER R. J. HEIMARK JOHN MCKINLAY ANNIE POLLARD B. SPEAR
SÓFIA COPELLO G. HEMPEL STEPHEN MCNEILL SALLY PONCET WOJCIECH STARCK